Working for a clean and prosperous California for all

The problem

Climate change is ravaging California by worsening wildfires, destroying livelihoods, and putting the state at risk for financial collapse. To mitigate further disaster, California is leading on climate action—including a 48% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030—but is currently off course. California’s boldness as a climate leader sparks inspiration and scrutiny. Unfortunately, existing narratives around affordability create the false perception that climate action and economic prosperity are competing priorities.

The solution

Economists have spent decades analyzing cost conscious strategies that affordably reduce emissions while growing a prosperous economy. At the core of California’s climate strategy is the cap-and-trade program, a policy that achieves climate targets at lowest economic cost. Economists design carbon prices, including cap-and-trade programs, to marshal the entire economy in a coordinated search for efficient and effective emissions reductions.

Our mission

Our mission is to secure a clean and prosperous California. We examine carbon pricing through an economic lens by synthesizing scientific evidence from the literature and using economic thinking to produce new research. Economic thinking facilitates smart designs for California’s cap-and-trade program so that climate action can be leveraged to solve a variety of statewide problems such as the affordability crisis, devastating wildfires, and budget deficits.

Our Work

We synthesize and produce nonpartisan research on the program’s performance and promising approaches to update the program.

Research

We bring key research findings into the public sphere in ways that are clear, accessible, and engaging.

Education

Convenings

We bring together the public and stakeholders to share ideas and learn from others.

What economists and experts say about carbon pricing

  • 2008: "Overall, a cap-and-trade system provides certainty regarding emissions from regulated sources because aggregate emissions from all regulated entities cannot exceed the total number of allowances. A well-designed cap-and-trade system will minimize the costs of achieving any given emissions target."

    Robert Stavins, Harvard Professor of Energy & Economic Development; Harvard Environmental Economics Program Director; Harvard Project on Climate Agreements Director.

  • 2010: "[E]xperience suggests that market-based emission controls work. Our recent history with acid rain shows as much. The Clean Air Act of 1990 introduced a cap-and-trade system in which power plants could buy and sell the right to emit sulfur dioxide, leaving it up to individual companies to manage their own business within the new limits. Sure enough, over time sulfur-dioxide emissions from power plants were cut almost in half, at a much lower cost than even optimists expected; electricity prices fell instead of rising. "

    Paul Krugman, Department of Economics and Stone Center on Socio-Economic Inequality at the Graduate Center, City University of New York; Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Science recipient

  • 2015: "Most important, cap-and-trade has long since proven to be environmentally effective and economically cost-effective relative to traditional command and control approaches. Less flexible systems would not have led to the technological change that may have been induced by market-based instruments (Keohane 2003; Schmalensee and Stavins 2013), nor the induced process innovations that have resulted (Doucet and Strauss 1994)."

    – Richard Schmalensee, Professor of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Robert Stavins, Harvard University

  • 2017: “Economists do agree on one point… Economists are essentially unanimous that a price on carbon is the most efficient way to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.”

    Christopher Knittle, Professor of Applied Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

  • 2018: "Virtually all economists agree that one of the biggest selling points for pricing greenhouse gases (GHGs) … is that it will boost innovation in low-carbon technologies."

    Severin Bornstein, Professor of Business Administration and Public Policy, Haas School of Business; Faculty Director of the Energy Institute at Haas

  • 2024: "Today, nearly one-quarter of the world’s GHG emissions are subject to a carbon price through 75 unique carbon prices, with two of the more effective examples having been operating in California and the Northeast United States for over a decade.”

    Letter from nearly 30 leading economists explaining their support of Washington State’s cap-and-invest program

  • 2025: "California's cap-and-trade program was designed to seek out and incentivize the lowest-cost GHG reduction strategies. It also generates revenues that can be used to offset adverse affordability impacts. Reauthorization of the cap-and-trade program will help contain the costs of climate change mitigation going forward.”

    Meredith Fowlie, Professor of Economics, UC Berkeley & Vice Chair of Independent Emissions Market Advisory Committee

  • 2025: “The most important moment for cap-and-trade is when climate ambition is high and costs are high…unless you're going to abandon your climate ambition, this is the approach to deliver your climate goals at the cheapest cost possible”.

    Kyle Meng, Associate Professor of Economics, UC Santa Barbara; Former White House Economist.

Cap-and-Trade: The Basics

California’s cap-and-trade program works by making polluters pay for their greenhouse gas emissions.

1

Cap-and-trade achieves reductions affordably at the lowest economic cost by marshaling the entire economy in a coordinated effort to find emissions reductions.

2

Cap-and-trade’s effectiveness has made it a model for other jurisdictions seeking to implement carbon pricing, including in China, Washington State, and Quebec.

3

Cap-and-trade plays a central role in California’s climate policy portfolio by reducing emissions and mitigating future climate impacts such as drought and wildfires.

4

Cap-and-trade collects funds from polluters that are used to lower utility bills and invest in community projects that promote sustainability and support the clean energy transition.

5

California Cap-and-Invest: A Political History

Cap-and-invest is an inherently American and bipartisan approach that addresses the climate crisis by harnessing the power of markets. Cap-and-invest was first developed by American economists in the 1970s and first employed in the United States by former President George H. W. Bush in 1990 to solve the problem of acid rain.

Cap-and-invest has been in California’s DNA since 2006, when Governor Schwarzenegger signed A.B. 32 and created a suite of climate policies with carbon pricing as a “key element” and its “integral piece”. Since then, other jurisdictions have design cap-and-invest programs using California’s as a model. Today, cap-and-invest is used by 12 other American states and implemented by a total of 36 jurisdictions worldwide, covering roughly 20% of global greenhouse gas emissions.

Governor Brown reauthorized the cap-and-invest program in 2017 with the passage of A.B. 398. In 2025, the Governor Newsom and the California legislature reauthorized the cap-and-invest program through 2045. The reauthorizations passed with a two-thirds support of the legislature and, in the case of the 2017 reauthorization, with republican votes.

Former Governors Jerry Brown and Arnold Schwarzenegger at the signing ceremony of the cap-and-invest extension bill, AB 398, on July 25, 2017.

Our name, “Clean and Prosperous California”, is inspired by former Governor Schwarzenegger’s congratulatory remarks to California leaders when they reauthorized the cap-and-trade program in 2017 via the passage of A.B. 398 and S.B. 32: “Governor Brown and legislative leaders from both parties came together to ensure that California continues to march toward a clean, prosperous future”.

Leadership

We are a team of economists and lawyers based in California and committed to securing and clean and prosperous California for all. Our Board serves voluntarily without compensation.

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